Wednesday · August 12 · 6:40 pm ✦
PIRATES @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Pirates
2
MARLINS
8
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 2–8 Marlins
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 36% | 64% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 47% | 53% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games