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Friday · August 7 · 7:10 pm ✦

ANGELS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

ANGELS 4
Marlins 3

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–5 Miami Marlins · Actual: 4–3 Angels

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Angels Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Angels 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 24% 76% 3–6 ✗
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 47% 53% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 22% 78% 3–7 ✗
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 53% 47% — ✓
Random Forest Miami Marlins 33% 67% — ✗
Consensus Miami Marlins 40% 60% 3–5 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Angels this season

88–66

57% across 154 games

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games