Tuesday · July 28 · 6:40 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Phillies
0
MARLINS
1
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Miami Marlins · Actual: 0–1 Marlins
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 31% | 69% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 27% | 73% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 43% | 57% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games