Monday · July 27 · 6:40 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Phillies
7
MARLINS
8
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Miami Marlins · Actual: 7–8 Marlins
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 40% | 60% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 60% | 40% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 30% | 70% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games