Sunday · July 26 · 1:41 PM ✦
PADRES @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
PADRES
5
Marlins
3
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 5–3 Padres
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 49% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 47% | 52% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games