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Sunday · July 26 · 1:41 PM ✦

PADRES @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

PADRES 5
Marlins 3

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 5–3 Padres

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 42% 58% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 44% 56% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 49% 49% 3–3
Logistic Miami Marlins 49% 51%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 53% 47%
Consensus Miami Marlins 47% 52% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

76–46

62% across 122 games

Marlins this season

67–56

54% across 123 games