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Saturday · July 25 · 4:11 PM ✦

PADRES @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

PADRES 7
Marlins 2

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Miami Marlins · Actual: 7–2 Padres

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Marlins Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 45% 55% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 44% 56% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–4
Logistic Miami Marlins 47% 53%
Random Forest Miami Marlins 36% 64%
Consensus Miami Marlins 49% 51% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

76–46

62% across 122 games

Marlins this season

67–56

54% across 123 games