Saturday · July 25 · 4:11 PM ✦
PADRES @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
PADRES
7
Marlins
2
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Miami Marlins · Actual: 7–2 Padres
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 36% | 64% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
76–46
62% across 122 games
Marlins this season
67–56
54% across 123 games