Sunday · July 12 · 1:40 PM ✦
GUARDIANS @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
GUARDIANS
5
Marlins
2
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 5–2 Guardians
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Guardians | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 45% | 55% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cleveland Guardians | 59% | 41% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cleveland Guardians | 61% | 39% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 50% | 50% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Guardians this season
78–81
49% across 159 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games