Friday · July 24 · 7:10 pm ✦
PADRES @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
PADRES
4
Marlins
2
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Miami Marlins · Actual: 4–2 Padres
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 46% | 54% | 4–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
76–46
62% across 122 games
Marlins this season
67–56
54% across 123 games