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Friday · July 10 · 7:10 pm ✦

GUARDIANS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

GUARDIANS 3
Marlins 2

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–2 Guardians

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 49% 51% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 44% 56% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 54% 46% — ✓
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 54% 46% — ✓
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games