Tuesday · July 7 · 6:40 pm ✦
MARINERS @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Mariners
5
MARLINS
6
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 5–6 Marlins
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Seattle Mariners | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 47% | 53% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games