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Wednesday · July 8 · 6:40 pm ✦

MARINERS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Mariners 0
MARLINS 2

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Miami Marlins · Actual: 0–2 Marlins

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 45% 55% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 55% 45% 5–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Seattle Mariners 54% 46% — ✗
Random Forest Miami Marlins 37% 63% — ✓
Consensus Miami Marlins 48% 52% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

87–67

56% across 154 games

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games