Back to the recap

Sunday · June 21 · 1:40 PM ✦

GIANTS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Giants 1
MARLINS 2

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 1–2 Marlins

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Giants Marlins Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 73% 27% 4–3
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 62% 38% 5–3
Logistic Miami Marlins 46% 54%
Random Forest Miami Marlins 46% 54%
Consensus San Francisco Giants 58% 42% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Giants this season

47–38

55% across 85 games

Marlins this season

46–40

53% across 86 games