Saturday · June 6 · 4:10 PM ✦
RAYS @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Rays
3
MARLINS
4
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 3–4 Marlins
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 60% | 40% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 53% | 47% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 67% | 33% | 4–2 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 63% | 37% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
41–42
49% across 83 games
Marlins this season
46–40
53% across 86 games