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Sunday · May 24 · 1:40 pm ✦

METS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Mets 0
MARLINS 4

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 0–4 Marlins

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Marlins Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 55% 45% 4–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 64% 36% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 53% 47% 3–3
Logistic New York Mets 51% 49%
Random Forest Miami Marlins 43% 57%
Consensus New York Mets 53% 47% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

50–37

57% across 87 games

Marlins this season

46–41

53% across 87 games