Saturday · May 23 · 4:10 pm ✦
METS @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Mets
1
MARLINS
4
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, comfortably
✗ WrongProjected: 5–2 New York Mets · Actual: 1–4 Marlins
65%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 71% | 29% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 78% | 22% | 5–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 75% | 25% | 5–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 58% | 42% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 65% | 35% | 5–2 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
28–17
62% across 45 games
Marlins this season
29–17
63% across 46 games