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Friday · May 22 ✦

METS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park.

Final

Mets 1
MARLINS 2

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Miami Marlins · Actual: 1–2 Marlins

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Marlins Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 47% 53% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 53% 47% 4–4
Logistic Miami Marlins 42% 58%
Random Forest Miami Marlins 43% 57%
Consensus Miami Marlins 49% 51% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

28–17

62% across 45 games

Marlins this season

29–17

63% across 46 games