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Thursday · May 21 · 6:40 PM ✦

BRAVES @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

BRAVES 9
Marlins 3

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 9–3 Braves

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 49% 51% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 55% 45% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 45% 55% 3–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 53% 47%
Random Forest Miami Marlins 41% 59%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 51% 49% 3–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

25–21

54% across 46 games

Marlins this season

29–17

63% across 46 games