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Wednesday · May 20 · 6:40 PM ✦

BRAVES @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

BRAVES 9
Marlins 1

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 9–1 Braves

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 45% 55% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 64% 36% 3–2 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Atlanta Braves 53% 47% — ✓
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 53% 47% — ✓
Consensus Atlanta Braves 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games