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Sunday · May 10 · 12:15 PM ✦

NATIONALS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Nationals 2
MARLINS 5

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 2–5 Marlins

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 53% 47% 3–2
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 55% 45% 3–2
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 51% 49% 3–2
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 44% 56% 3–3
Logistic Washington Nationals 56% 44%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 65% 35%
Consensus Washington Nationals 53% 47% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

27–19

59% across 46 games

Marlins this season

29–17

63% across 46 games