Sunday · May 10 · 12:15 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Nationals
2
MARLINS
5
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 2–5 Marlins
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Washington Nationals | 53% | 47% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 55% | 45% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 51% | 49% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 65% | 35% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
27–19
59% across 46 games
Marlins this season
29–17
63% across 46 games