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Saturday · May 9 · 4:10 pm ✦

NATIONALS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Nationals 7
MARLINS 8

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–2 Washington Nationals · Actual: 7–8 Marlins

63%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 60% 40% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 65% 35% 4–2
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 60% 40% 3–2
Logistic Washington Nationals 63% 37%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 71% 29%
Consensus Washington Nationals 63% 37% 3–2
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

27–19

59% across 46 games

Marlins this season

29–17

63% across 46 games