Thursday · May 7 · 6:41 PM ✦
ORIOLES @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Orioles
3
MARLINS
4
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, comfortably
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 3–4 Marlins
65%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 71% | 29% | 4–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 76% | 24% | 5–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 57% | 43% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 64% | 36% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
None of the 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games