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Friday · May 8 · 7:10 PM ✦

NATIONALS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

NATIONALS 3
Marlins 2

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Washington Nationals · Actual: 3–2 Nationals

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 51% 49% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 42% 58% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 44% 56% 4–4
Logistic Washington Nationals 57% 43%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 65% 35%
Consensus Washington Nationals 52% 48% 3–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

27–19

59% across 46 games

Marlins this season

29–17

63% across 46 games