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Wednesday · May 6 · 6:40 pm ✦

ORIOLES @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

ORIOLES 7
Marlins 4

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 7–4 Orioles

61%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 69% 31% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 60% 40% 4–2
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 76% 24% 4–2
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 60% 40% 4–3
Logistic Miami Marlins 42% 58%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 65% 35%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 61% 39% 4–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

26–17

60% across 43 games

Marlins this season

29–17

63% across 46 games