Tuesday · May 5 · 6:40 pm ✦
ORIOLES @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
ORIOLES
9
Marlins
7
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 9–7 Orioles
61%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 60% | 40% | 3–2 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 71% | 29% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 62% | 38% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 69% | 31% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 61% | 39% | 4–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
48–38
56% across 86 games
Marlins this season
47–41
53% across 88 games