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Monday · May 4 · 6:42 PM ✦

PHILLIES @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

PHILLIES 1
Marlins 0

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, comfortably

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–2 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 1–0 Phillies

67%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 69% 31% 4–2
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 82% 18% 5–2
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 52% 48%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 76% 24%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 67% 33% 4–2
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

30–15

67% across 45 games

Marlins this season

29–17

63% across 46 games