Sunday · May 3 · 1:41 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
PHILLIES
7
Marlins
2
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 7–2 Phillies
61%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 65% | 35% | 5–2 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 71% | 29% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 62% | 38% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 61% | 39% | 4–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games