Friday · May 1 · 7:10 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
PHILLIES
6
Marlins
5
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 6–5 Phillies
60%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 73% | 27% | 4–2 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
All 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games