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Wednesday · April 22 · 12:11 PM ✦

CARDINALS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Cardinals 1
MARLINS 4

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 1–4 Marlins

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 45% 55% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 33% 67% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Miami Marlins 49% 51%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 69% 31%
Consensus Miami Marlins 50% 50% 3–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

28–18

61% across 46 games

Marlins this season

29–18

62% across 47 games