Wednesday · April 22 · 12:11 PM ✦
CARDINALS @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Cardinals
1
MARLINS
4
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 1–4 Marlins
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 69% | 31% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 50% | 50% | 3–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games