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Monday · April 20 ✦

CARDINALS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park.

Final

Cardinals 3
MARLINS 5

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 3–5 Marlins

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Marlins Projected Result
Baseline St. Louis Cardinals 56% 44% 3–2
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 45% 55% 3–4
Logistic Miami Marlins 39% 61%
Random Forest Miami Marlins 32% 68%
Consensus Miami Marlins 45% 55% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

28–18

61% across 46 games

Marlins this season

29–18

62% across 47 games