Tuesday · April 21 · 6:40 pm ✦
CARDINALS @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
CARDINALS
5
Marlins
3
Our Pick
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 5–3 Cardinals
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 77% | 23% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | St. Louis Cardinals | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games