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Tuesday · April 21 · 6:40 pm ✦

CARDINALS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

CARDINALS 5
Marlins 3

Our Pick

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 5–3 Cardinals

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 44% 56% 3–3
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 42% 58% 3–3
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 51% 49%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 77% 23%
Consensus St. Louis Cardinals 53% 47% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

28–18

61% across 46 games

Marlins this season

29–18

62% across 47 games