Thursday · April 9 · 12:10 PM ✦
REDS @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Reds
1
MARLINS
8
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 1–8 Marlins
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 73% | 27% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 41% | 59% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
31–16
66% across 47 games
Marlins this season
29–19
60% across 48 games