Wednesday · April 8 · 6:40 pm ✦
REDS @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Reds
4
MARLINS
7
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 4–7 Marlins
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 50% | 50% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
31–16
66% across 47 games
Marlins this season
29–19
60% across 48 games