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Tuesday · April 7 ✦

REDS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park.

Final

REDS 6
Marlins 3

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 6–3 Reds

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 64% 36% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 40% 60% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 51% 49% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 51% 49% 4–3
Logistic Miami Marlins 39% 61%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 51% 49%
Consensus Miami Marlins 49% 51% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

31–16

66% across 47 games

Marlins this season

29–19

60% across 48 games