Back to the recap

Wednesday · April 1 · 1:10 PM ✦

WHITE SOX @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

White Sox 0
MARLINS 10

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 2–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 0–10 Marlins

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick White Sox Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 40% 60% 2–3
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 33% 67% 2–3
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 40% 60% 2–3
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago White Sox 56% 44% 3–3
Logistic Chicago White Sox 51% 49%
Random Forest Chicago White Sox 69% 31%
Consensus Miami Marlins 50% 50% 2–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

White Sox this season

22–24

48% across 46 games

Marlins this season

29–19

60% across 48 games