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Wednesday · September 23 · 7:10 pm ✦

PADRES @ DODGERS

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium. · 75 degrees, clear, wind 6 mph out to cf

Final

PADRES 5
Dodgers 1

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–5 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 5–1 Padres

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Dodgers Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 44% 56% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 44% 56% 4–5 ✗
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 44% 56% 4–5 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 31% 69% 3–5 ✗
Logistic San Diego Padres 50% 50% — ✓
Random Forest Los Angeles Dodgers 48% 52% — ✗
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 44% 56% 4–5 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games

Dodgers this season

100–57

64% across 157 games