Thursday · September 24 · 7:10 pm ✦
PADRES @ DODGERS
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium. · 82 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph out to rf
Final
PADRES
4
Dodgers
2
Our Pick
LOS ANGELES DODGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–5 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 4–2 Padres
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Dodgers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Los Angeles Dodgers | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 64% | 36% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Los Angeles Dodgers | 33% | 67% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Los Angeles Dodgers | 38% | 62% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Los Angeles Dodgers | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Los Angeles Dodgers | 39% | 61% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Los Angeles Dodgers | 46% | 54% | 4–5 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Dodgers this season
100–57
64% across 157 games