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Friday · September 4 · 7:10 pm ✦

NATIONALS @ DODGERS

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium. · 72 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to cf

Final

Nationals 3
DODGERS 5

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 3–5 Dodgers

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Dodgers Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 55% 45% 4–5 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 42% 58% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 36% 64% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 45% 55% — ✓
Random Forest Los Angeles Dodgers 39% 61% — ✓
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 45% 55% 4–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Dodgers this season

100–57

64% across 157 games