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Sunday · August 2 · 4:20 pm ✦

RED SOX @ DODGERS

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium. · 88 degrees, sunny, wind 8 mph out to cf

Final

RED SOX 8
Dodgers 4

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 8–4 Red Sox

63%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Dodgers Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 25% 75% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 40% 60% 3–5
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 36% 64% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 31% 69% 3–4
Logistic Boston Red Sox 51% 49%
Random Forest Los Angeles Dodgers 26% 74%
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 37% 63% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

66–57

54% across 123 games

Dodgers this season

75–46

62% across 121 games