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Tuesday · July 28 ✦

MARINERS @ DODGERS

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

Final

MARINERS 7
Dodgers 6

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 7–6 Mariners

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Dodgers Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 55% 45% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 38% 62% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 51% 49% 4–4
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 42% 58%
Random Forest Los Angeles Dodgers 38% 62%
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 45% 55% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

75–47

61% across 122 games

Dodgers this season

75–46

62% across 121 games