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Sunday · July 12 · 1:10 PM ✦

D-BACKS @ DODGERS

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium. · 83 degrees, cloudy, wind 4 mph out to cf

Final

D-BACKS 5
Dodgers 3

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 5–3 D-backs

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Dodgers Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 55% 45% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 52% 48% — ✓
Random Forest Los Angeles Dodgers 41% 59% — ✗
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 49% 51% 3–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games

Dodgers this season

100–58

63% across 158 games