Sunday · July 5 · 4:20 pm ✦
PADRES @ DODGERS
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to cf
Final
PADRES
5
Dodgers
2
Our Pick
LOS ANGELES DODGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 5–2 Padres
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Dodgers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 64% | 36% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Los Angeles Dodgers | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Los Angeles Dodgers | 44% | 56% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Los Angeles Dodgers | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Los Angeles Dodgers | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Los Angeles Dodgers | 32% | 68% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Los Angeles Dodgers | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Dodgers this season
100–58
63% across 158 games