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Saturday · July 4 ✦

PADRES @ DODGERS

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

Final

Padres 0
DODGERS 3

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 0–3 Dodgers

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Dodgers Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 36% 64% 4–5 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 42% 58% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 34% 66% — ✓
Random Forest Los Angeles Dodgers 36% 64% — ✓
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 41% 59% 4–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games

Dodgers this season

100–58

63% across 158 games