← Back to the recap

Friday · July 3 ✦

PADRES @ DODGERS

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

Final

Padres 3
DODGERS 4

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–5 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 3–4 Dodgers

64%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Dodgers Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 47% 53% 4–5 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 40% 60% 4–5 ✓
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 31% 69% 3–5 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 29% 71% 3–5 ✓
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 33% 67% — ✓
Random Forest Los Angeles Dodgers 33% 67% — ✓
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 36% 64% 3–5 ✓
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

54–29

65% across 83 games

Dodgers this season

52–33

61% across 85 games