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Thursday · July 2 ✦

PADRES @ DODGERS

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

Final

Padres 7
DODGERS 12

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 2–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 7–12 Dodgers

61%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Dodgers Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 40% 60% 2–3
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 38% 62% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 36% 64% 2–4
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 33% 67%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 55% 45%
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 39% 61% 2–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

54–29

65% across 83 games

Dodgers this season

52–33

61% across 85 games