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Saturday · May 30 ✦

PHILLIES @ DODGERS

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

Final

PHILLIES 4
Dodgers 3

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS, comfortably

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–5 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 4–3 Phillies

65%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Dodgers Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 25% 75% 4–6
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 36% 64% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 36% 64% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 51% 49% 4–4
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 35% 65%
Random Forest Los Angeles Dodgers 21% 79%
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 35% 65% 4–5
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

56–31

64% across 87 games

Dodgers this season

53–33

62% across 86 games