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Tuesday · April 28 · 7:11 PM ✦

MARLINS @ DODGERS

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium. · 66 degrees, clear, wind 9 mph out to rf

Final

MARLINS 2
Dodgers 1

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 2–1 Marlins

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Dodgers Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 36% 64% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 29% 71% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 40% 60% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 38% 62% 3–4
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 49% 51%
Random Forest Miami Marlins 58% 42%
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 43% 57% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

29–18

62% across 47 games

Dodgers this season

24–21

53% across 45 games