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Tuesday · April 28 · 7:11 PM ✦

MARLINS @ DODGERS

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium. · 66 degrees, clear, wind 9 mph out to rf

Final

MARLINS 2
Dodgers 1

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 2–1 Marlins

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Dodgers Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 36% 64% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 29% 71% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 40% 60% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 38% 62% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 49% 51% — ✗
Random Forest Miami Marlins 58% 42% — ✓
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 43% 57% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Dodgers this season

100–59

63% across 159 games