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Friday · August 28 ✦

PHILLIES @ ANGELS

Angel Stadium.

Final

PHILLIES 5
Angels 3

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES ANGELS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Los Angeles Angels · Actual: 5–3 Phillies

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Angels Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 38% 62% — ✗
Random Forest Los Angeles Angels 42% 58% — ✗
Consensus Los Angeles Angels 50% 50% 4–3 ✗
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games

Angels this season

88–66

57% across 154 games