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Sunday · August 30 · 1:08 PM ✦

PHILLIES @ ANGELS

Angel Stadium. · 90 degrees, sunny, wind 8 mph r to l

Final

PHILLIES 5
Angels 2

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 5–2 Phillies

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Angels Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 58% 40% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 80% 20% 4–2 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 65% 35% 5–3 ✓
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 46% 54% — ✗
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 54% 46% — ✓
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games

Angels this season

88–66

57% across 154 games