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Wednesday · July 29 ✦

ASTROS @ ANGELS

Angel Stadium.

Final

ASTROS 7
Angels 4

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES ANGELS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Los Angeles Angels · Actual: 7–4 Astros

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Angels Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Angels 35% 65% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Angels 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Angels 36% 64% 2–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Angels 38% 62% 2–3 ✗
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 49% 51% — ✗
Random Forest Houston Astros 57% 43% — ✓
Consensus Los Angeles Angels 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games

Angels this season

88–66

57% across 154 games