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Tuesday · July 28 ✦

ASTROS @ ANGELS

Angel Stadium.

Final

ASTROS 3
Angels 2

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES ANGELS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Los Angeles Angels · Actual: 3–2 Astros

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Angels Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Angels 44% 56% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Angels 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Angels 47% 53% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Angels 36% 64% 2–4
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 48% 52%
Random Forest Houston Astros 60% 40%
Consensus Los Angeles Angels 46% 54% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

69–52

57% across 121 games

Angels this season

68–54

56% across 122 games